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We are indeed hitting the end of Moore's law. The companies that provide IP are watching the market splitting into two: the companies that want the latest proc
by sweden 10y ago
We are indeed hitting the end of Moore's law.
The companies that provide IP are watching the market splitting into two: the companies that want the latest process node to show off technology (for example, Apple, Samsung, Huawei, etc) and the companies that want older but stable process nodes (IoT companies and the automotive industry).
When most of the articles speak of the newest process nodes (for example, the 5nm process node) they only touch the economics part of it: "it's expensive, it's costly". But they don't mention the many problems that come with it: it's unstable, there is much more current leakage which increases power consumption unexpectedly, it is not suitable for long longevity and the architecture of your analog blocks have to take into account all these problems which don't exist in the older process nodes.
It is possible to produce solutions in 5 nm, but the question is no longer about if we can do it or not. The downsides os these nodes go beyond the engineering resources and the economic resources that are needed to achieve them.
That is why the automotive industry is not interesting in these kind of nodes. They want the stable and cheap nodes like 28nm and 40nm, they know that these nodes are well tested and have long longevity.
We are also reaching a point in which we already have enough advanced technology for our needs, we need to start to get rid of the need of reaching the next process node in order to have better hardware.