If I was launching a $10 billion dollar satellite ULA's very impressive track record would make me strongly consider going with them. SpaceX's reliability goin

If I was launching a $10 billion dollar satellite ULA's very impressive track record would make me strongly consider going with them. SpaceX's reliability going forward is probably going to be better than their reliability up to this point but there's essentially no way they won't lose a single satellite over their next 100 launches. But these GPS satellites are only in the $100m dollar range according to the internet so it just doesn't make sense to pay an extra $50m to go from 97% reliability to 99.7%.