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I don't know how is the situation in GS but in Europe many investment banks are under serious trouble, even if we exclude the effects of periphericals debt cris
by dbs 10y ago
I don't know how is the situation in GS but in Europe many investment banks are under serious trouble, even if we exclude the effects of periphericals debt crisis. Turnover in primary markets has stagnated due to excess credit capacity and a (structural) small number of companies wanting to go public. On secondary markets, trading in equities and bonds has reached a plateau ages ago with liquidity seeming more and more artificial and regulations decreasing risk taking massively. Costs are also increasing due to regulation (huge in Europe) and necessary change in outdated technology. Asset management starting to feel the heat from indexing and ETFs... Fintech is not there yet but at some point it will cause massive disruption because margins are going to be way way lower. It sure looks like a death by a thousand cuts... CLSA analyst Mike Mayo has nailed it perfectly not only for GS but for the industry as a whole: “You danced pretty well the last three to four years without revenue growth. But it seems like you’re getting to the end of what you can do.”
- mikeyanderson 10y agoInteresting. As a total amateur in this area, does this mean that: There is so much cash available that betting on everything makes more sense than bets on individual things based on analysis? In other words, the cost to upgrade tech, follow regulations, etc. is higher than the margin between an index and a managed fund? If that's the case—wouldn't that mean that there are fewer people actually setting the price for any given stock by analysis, and wouldn't that end up bloating the market with potentially bad companies/vehicles continuing to get investment because they are in the main indexes?