Anecdotally, I would say 30% positive, 30% total loss, and 30-40% somewhere in between. Fund returns will definitely be biased towards the top 1-10%, like in an

Anecdotally, I would say 30% positive, 30% total loss, and 30-40% somewhere in between. Fund returns will definitely be biased towards the top 1-10%, like in any lottery system.