Of course there is no certainty. For example the Moore's "law" (~ economic trend) has officially died. We can't rely on free bi-annual compute doubling anymore.

Of course there is no certainty. For example the Moore's "law" (~ economic trend) has officially died. We can't rely on free bi-annual compute doubling anymore. Still, deep learning has become a very powerful tool and we haven't discovered all possible applications just yet. DL models can learn a huge array of tasks, most of these tasks haven't been tried yet. Maybe there is a way to achieve some limited form of general intelligence even with current state of art (deepmind's A3C agent) if one trained it in some special way nobody haven't thought of yet.