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|---|* About this far. But seriously, we've had predictions of "strong AI in 5/10/20 years" for decades now. The best we'll be able to do in such a short time
by delinka 11y ago
|---|* About this far.
But seriously, we've had predictions of "strong AI in 5/10/20 years" for decades now. The best we'll be able to do in such a short timeframe is what we do now: study a problem, create a [complex] solution, code the solution in a programming language. "AI Utopia" will arrive some decades after we've figured out how to make a system that can learn and retain over the long-term. Much like a biological brain.
Jeph Jacques' cartoon take on AI and sentient companions seems plausible: a big central AI grows and evolves and often spins off smaller AIs to be placed in androids. I don't know where the idea originated (it might be his?) but it's a very reasonable fiction for where we'd originate individuals in a high quantity.
(*not to scale)
- herval 11y agoIt's not like things advance linearly, though. Even the big minds in AI said it would take decades before an AI would beat a human at Go, for instance. Image recognition is another example that was "stuck" with relatively high error rates for many, many years, and suddenly got "solved". Our brains are just awful at predicting major breakthroughs...