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Lithium Ion battery prices have come down 40% since 2010 (see third graph[1]), and that is /caused/ by the increasing demand (it's called a manufacturing learni
by paulsutter 11y ago
Lithium Ion battery prices have come down 40% since 2010 (see third graph[1]), and that is /caused/ by the increasing demand (it's called a manufacturing learning curve[2] of which Moore's law is just an example).
Tesla's strategy is to drive volumes with gradually more affordable cars to bring down battery costs until there is a crossover where gasoline cars are impractical. That also explains the Gigafactory and the wall battery. So far, it's working.
[1] http://rameznaam.com/2013/09/25/energy-storage-gets-exponentially-cheaper-too/ http://rameznaam.com/2013/09/25/energy-storage-gets-exponent...
[2] http://www.strategosinc.com/articles/strategy/learning_curves.htm http://www.strategosinc.com/articles/strategy/learning_curve...
- mtgx 11y ago> Leaf battery pack at $270/KWh in 2014. Tesla is expected to have $200/KWh batteries once the Gigactory starts making batteries. Bolt is already said to use $145/KWh batteries, but I figure that's mainly because they're using cheaper batteries with much shorter life (kind of how Tesla's 10KWh PowerWall was cheaper than its 7KWh PowerWall).