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First Agriculture was automed, then manufacturing was automated, now we are starting to automate services with software/AI. One has to wonder what jobs would 1

by abhi3 11y ago

First Agriculture was automed, then manufacturing was automated, now we are starting to automate services with software/AI. One has to wonder what jobs would 10 billion people we are going to have in 2050 be doing.

yazaddaruvala 11y ago
Very similar things to today (just with a few of them mundane things removed): Sports/Prostitution/(non-sexual paid)Companionship/Parenting/Baby sitting/Dog sitting (will never be automated). Gambling/Consumption (will never be automated). With a large basic income compared to cost of living ratio, these might actually be people's day-day 9-5. Politics/War (because ofcourse that isn't going anywhere in the next 35 years) - By 2050 we may see the first AI Senators though. Creative endeavors: Dancing, Stage Performances, Movies, Books, Music (while computers can write, or make art, potentially any of the above, there will always be a higher appreciation for human creativity). Writing and maintaining all this software (until that is automated - not by 2050 though). Data-analysis to ensure these ML systems are doing the correct things (until that is automated - not by 2050 though). Apart from that my bet is on academics. Humans will be full-time students (my personal career of choice). Hopefully more scientific research/advancement. Primarily theoretical endeavors, like philosophy, mathematics, theoretical physics (i.e. abstract thought - things that are not exclusively based on previously aggregated data). Exploration/colonization. We are still the most adaptable machine/energy efficient machines (it is still unclear if curiosity can be built into a machine's "personality"). Note: I'm sure there will continue to be Amish 19th century societies, alongside the new Amish 20th century societies that will start to pop up. Note: This is all given that we do not destroy civilization first. Automation / increased productivity isn't all good! It doesn't just mean you need fewer people to make more money. It means you need fewer people to attain your goals. Even if your goal is to hurt other people! Note: This is also given there is a separation between humans and machines in 2050. Given the adaptability of our brains, it is conceivable to give it new input/output streams. For example, what happens if I were to implant a calculator-chip into my brain? Once I was trained to use that implant, could I multiply/divide arbitrarily sized numbers as quickly as a computer? If so, instead of implants, can we collectively edit the human genome to have these bio-chips grow into our bodies i.e. such that no future generation has to worry about "implants"?

by abhi3 11y ago

yazaddaruvala 11y ago

Very similar things to today (just with a few of them mundane things removed): Sports/Prostitution/(non-sexual paid)Companionship/Parenting/Baby sitting/Dog sitting (will never be automated). Gambling/Consumption (will never be automated). With a large basic income compared to cost of living ratio, these might actually be people's day-day 9-5. Politics/War (because ofcourse that isn't going anywhere in the next 35 years) - By 2050 we may see the first AI Senators though. Creative endeavors: Dancing, Stage Performances, Movies, Books, Music (while computers can write, or make art, potentially any of the above, there will always be a higher appreciation for human creativity). Writing and maintaining all this software (until that is automated - not by 2050 though). Data-analysis to ensure these ML systems are doing the correct things (until that is automated - not by 2050 though). Apart from that my bet is on academics. Humans will be full-time students (my personal career of choice). Hopefully more scientific research/advancement. Primarily theoretical endeavors, like philosophy, mathematics, theoretical physics (i.e. abstract thought - things that are not exclusively based on previously aggregated data). Exploration/colonization. We are still the most adaptable machine/energy efficient machines (it is still unclear if curiosity can be built into a machine's "personality"). Note: I'm sure there will continue to be Amish 19th century societies, alongside the new Amish 20th century societies that will start to pop up. Note: This is all given that we do not destroy civilization first. Automation / increased productivity isn't all good! It doesn't just mean you need fewer people to make more money. It means you need fewer people to attain your goals. Even if your goal is to hurt other people! Note: This is also given there is a separation between humans and machines in 2050. Given the adaptability of our brains, it is conceivable to give it new input/output streams. For example, what happens if I were to implant a calculator-chip into my brain? Once I was trained to use that implant, could I multiply/divide arbitrarily sized numbers as quickly as a computer? If so, instead of implants, can we collectively edit the human genome to have these bio-chips grow into our bodies i.e. such that no future generation has to worry about "implants"?