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I don't think that works. Polls tell you the levels of support of the candidates, they don't give you the probability of each candidate winning which is what yo
by winstonewert 11y ago
I don't think that works. Polls tell you the levels of support of the candidates, they don't give you the probability of each candidate winning which is what you need to figure out the expected value of the winner.
- eru 11y agoI guess it's back to the prediction markets (or fivethirtyeight) then.