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I'm not an aerospace engineer, so don't read too much into this, but: In James Fallows' China Airborne, there's a paragraph or so where he talks about how build
by Tarrosion 11y ago
I'm not an aerospace engineer, so don't read too much into this, but: In James Fallows' China Airborne, there's a paragraph or so where he talks about how building a modern airliner is harder than building a rocket ship. Roughly it's because 1) rocket ships are allowed to fail on occasion and 2) planes are subject to constant use and are not subject to the kind of preflight inspections rockets are.
In the case of SpaceX, consider their last launch failure. The general consensus seemed to be "well, rockets are really hard. And it was the strut manufacturer's fault to some extent. They'll do better next time, and they're still changing the world. Anyway, SpaceX rockets are 4x cheaper than any competitor so even with the occasional launch failure it's still the best option!"
Can you imagine the reaction today if e.g. a Boeing plane blew up on launch? In fact, recall all the criticism Boeing received after issues with the 787's batteries...
But again, I certifiably don't really know. Someone could write about energy requirements and wet/dry mass and how thin rocket skins are and aerodynamic forces and easily convince me rockets are harder.
- rohit89 11y agoEven in the case of rockets, once you work out all the kinks, you can get very high reliability. When was the last time you heard a Soyuz rocket fail or one of ULA's launch vehicles.
- anon8418 11y agoHow many launches has the Soyuz had? Think how many more cycles a plane goes through a day / month / year / decade. Times that by the number of models of that plane out there.
- jessaustin 11y agoI doubt any spacegoing rocket will ever be expected to match the durability and maintenance schedule of e.g. the average 767.
- rohit89 11y agoA plane doesn't undergo stress anywhere near what a rocket goes through and we understand all the science behind it very well.
- bduerst 11y agoIt's a different class of stress - think marathon vs. sprint.