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I haven't read the entire Atlantic piece, but given the fact that we know there is an ISIS affiliated group operating Belgium, I don't see how you can possibly

I haven't read the entire Atlantic piece, but given the fact that we know there is an ISIS affiliated group operating Belgium, I don't see how you can possibly be so certain it wasn't ISIS. I think it's far more likely that these attacks were triggered by the recent arrest of Salah Abdeslam and the killing of Mohamed Belkaid (in two different raids). There were multiple other suspects who were not captured/killed, and it seem plausible that they carried out these attacks now as they felt the police were closing in. I'm not claiming that all terror attacks are always ISIS, and I'm not saying I'm sure this was ISIS, but given recent events in Belgium, the likelihood of ISIS involvement is a _lot_ higher than 0.001%.

themartorana 11y ago
I think there is a marked difference between ISIS affiliated and ISIS supported. Any group can claim affiliation/solidarity with ISIS. But I really do recommend reading the Atlantic piece, it's the only deep dive I've ever seen written that explains some seemingly inexplicable behavior. That said, I agree this is likely retaliation, I'm just not sure how big the "enemy" we're fighting in Belgium is. Today's attack took a minimum of what, 3 people?
- JshWright 11y ago
  > Today's attack took a minimum of what, 3 people? At least twice that. Some sort of cell leader, a bombmaker, logistics, bombers, etc...