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Not so. I work in the industry and most people agree that first-gen robotaxis will hit the streets of LA and SV around 2020. Obviously these locations are ide
by mdorazio 11y ago
Not so. I work in the industry and most people agree that first-gen robotaxis will hit the streets of LA and SV around 2020. Obviously these locations are ideal for the use case since they have nice weather, flat terrain, and generally decent roads. It will be years later that a robotaxi picks you up on a snowy street in Manhattan, but this is a situation where incremental launches and improvements make sense - some markets are easier than others, so you can launch to those markets where autonomous is good enough.
- ktRolster 11y agoAs someone who works in the industry, can you explain the good reasons for choosing 2020 as the estimate? (As opposed to this: https://xkcd.com/678/ https://xkcd.com/678/ or just hopeful thinking)
- lrem 11y agoAs someone who works in a big company, for some reason every long-term plan is touted this-2020 and that-2020. It's just easier to sell as a slogan and may influence real deadlines. That is until probably 2018, when everything will get named those-2025.
- ghaff 11y agoFive years out is roughly the confluence between "close enough to be interesting" with "of course, it's not quite ready yet."