> There are plenty of examples where technology has rapidly advanced to some remarkable level, but then almost completely plateaued. And that's why you assume

> There are plenty of examples where technology has rapidly advanced to some remarkable level, but then almost completely plateaued. And that's why you assume that it does not skyrocket in the future? Predicting the future is hard either way, ask a turkey before he gets his head chopped off. > I'm also tired of all the statements about "accelerating progress". It's not like all the AI research of the past was useless until DNNs came along. It's not that it was useless, but AI is improving as any other field is, some say faster than most other fields, and it's becoming more useful from day to day. My guess would also be that "with further refinement, we'll soon see AI play Go at a level well beyond human", but it's just a guess.