Hmm, I tell myself the same things about my driving ("I avoid doing stupid things, so I have stacked the odds in my favor.") -- possible since the causes of mos

Hmm, I tell myself the same things about my driving ("I avoid doing stupid things, so I have stacked the odds in my favor.") -- possible since the causes of most car accidents are well-known. I guess in both cases, we believe we have improved the odds, but also in both, we don't know how much. There is the additional problem that our efforts to improve our own safety may be less airtight than we imagine.