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Why does Teodolfo even need a citation for that? Are you really suggesting that there is no group of people who believe AI is not a threat to worry about, and b
by argonaut 11y ago
Why does Teodolfo even need a citation for that? Are you really suggesting that there is no group of people who believe AI is not a threat to worry about, and believed that AlphaGo would win?
- Eliezer 11y agoI'm sure there's someone on the planet. Which is a very different state of affairs from the one that would obtain if a well-known AI researcher had, say, made a $1500 public bet on AlphaGo winning, while also loudly declaring that worrying about AGI was like worrying about overpopulation on Mars, in the company of other researchers declaring similar combined expectations. What actually happened was the reverse of that; AI moved faster than I publicly bet a large sum of money on it moving, and I was already worried before then. I'm not aware of the reverse-reverse having happened. If you're claiming something as a successful advance prediction to bolster belief in a general model, it's fair play to ask for a record of that advance prediction.
- argonaut 11y agoNow you're moving the standard-of-citation-evidence goalposts ;)
- davidiach 11y ago@Eliezer, but you might still win the bet, this was just the first match.