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I agree that the conflict of interest definitely raises the bar. But of course, that's what I immediately hear from my conservative friends as well: that papers
by smithkl42 11y ago
I agree that the conflict of interest definitely raises the bar. But of course, that's what I immediately hear from my conservative friends as well: that papers which support the consensus are more likely to be published, that studies likely to confirm the consensus are more likely to be funded, and researchers who question that consensus are likely to be blackballed by their colleagues. Not being on the inside, I don't have any special insight as to whether or how strong the dynamic operates, of course. Which means that as an non-scientist, I sometimes feel like I'm in a pretty poor state to actually know what's true. Like I said, my instinct is to respect the consensus. But the evidence seems to have increased over the last decade or so that "consensus" can be a pretty poor pointer to the truth. And I want to take that evidence into account as well.
- habitue 11y agoActually, scientists have a huge incentive to overthrow an existing regime if it's bad but nobody knows it yet. It will make your career if you are able to prove it. The evidence required is high if what you're trying to disprove is well supported, but if you can provide that evidence there will be a wellspring of PhD students ready to ride that wave and build their careers. For climate deniers, the evidence just isn't there. There's no wave to ride.