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"At the very best estimate (the one by Ray Kurzweil), we're 13 years away from it. In reality, probably 30-50. So, worrying about it now kind of feels like a wa
by edanm 11y ago
"At the very best estimate (the one by Ray Kurzweil), we're 13 years away from it. In reality, probably 30-50. So, worrying about it now kind of feels like a waste of time, doesn't it?"
I think that kind of depends on how bad (or good) having AI will be.
Assuming the absolute worst-case scenario (an AI that wipes out humanity overnight), then not worrying about it because it's only 40 years away seems, in my mind, ridiculous. Not to mention 13 years away. Personally, I think 13 years and even 40 years is pretty "optimistic" on the timeline, but even if it's 200 years away, we should devote at least some resources to worrying about this problem now.
- argonaut 11y agoIf the chance of the worst case scenario is an infinitesimally small number, then there is no threat. One in a quadrillion, for example.