I see this survey cited a lot. I'd rather not get into a "my experts are better than your experts" argument (going on in the other thread here), but I really do

I see this survey cited a lot. I'd rather not get into a "my experts are better than your experts" argument (going on in the other thread here), but I really don't like Bostrom's survey. There are two really glaring issues: 1) Bostrom surveyed participants in conferences, not people presenting papers. Anyone can attend a conference if they buy a ticket, expert or not. 2) Bostrom decided to survey: the conferences "Philosophy and Theory of AI," "AGI," and "AGI-Impacts," all of them organized by himself or his colleague. He also emailed the mailing list of "Members of the Greek Association for Artificial Intelligence." Neither of these conferences are known in ML (or technical, for that matter). I have never heard of this association. Just about the only legitimate methodology was emailing the top 100 AI researchers according to Microsoft Academic search (only 29 responded). It would have much more weight to me if it were, say, a survey of people presenting papers at NIPS and ICML (the top 2 machine learning conferences). Maybe throw in ICLR, CVPR (top deep learning conference, top CV conference with ML focus). Because, like it or not, the only reason people fear super-intelligence is because of the advances being made in machine learning, and by extension, deep learning. Not because of advances (there are few) in classic AI.