> Bold changes require lots of resources. Maybe it’s mostly the success-bound companies who have enough resources to afford the bold changes. And even when the

> Bold changes require lots of resources. Maybe it’s mostly the success-bound companies who have enough resources to afford the bold changes. And even when they do get the causality right, maybe big changes in production are likely to cause big changes in outcome - providing both greater potential reward and greater risk of losing everything. Any sufficiently lucky contrarian is indistinguishable from genius. Edit for clarity