I think you or the colleague are more likely to be correct than 40+ years. There are hugely capable companies driving this and more understanding than ever on w

I think you or the colleague are more likely to be correct than 40+ years. There are hugely capable companies driving this and more understanding than ever on what will be achievable and how much money will be on the line. Self-driving, electric cars will make future taxi-equivalents affordable enough that it's considered for many instances. That makes for a massive market. It's not as though current taxis have a sparkling reputation as drivers either. Not many will be sad to see the end of them.