3 ms·
From the study you cited: "Under the same assumptions, the 12% increase caused by switching to organic fruits and vegetables would correspond to an increase in
by cfmcdonald 11y ago
From the study you cited:
"Under the same assumptions, the 12% increase caused
by switching to organic fruits and vegetables would correspond
to an increase in life expectancy of, on average, 17 days for
women and 25 days for men."
This is
1) all based on a very tenuous model, not on a study of actual health outcomes ("The calculations behind these estimates depend on estimates
of the relative risks of disease incidences according to fruit and
vegetable consumption, most of which are known only with
substantial uncertainty (Veerman et al., 2006).")
2) assumes a linear response (if a 1% increase in vitamins increases life expectancy by X, a 10% increase will increaes it by 10X), which also seems dubious
3) assumes that the input data about the nutritiousness of organic food is correct.
And it's still a tiny effect. The life expectancy at birth for men in the Netherlands (the source of the model) is 81 years, or 29565 days, so it's a claimed 0.08% increase in life expectancy.
Moreover, if organic food had a large effect on health we would expect today's rich kids to be substantially healthier than those of my generation, who ate Wonder Bread and Jif, but I have seen no such evidence.
But then I am deeply skeptical of nutrition science in general.
- jMyles 11y ago> But then I am deeply skeptical of nutrition science in general. Yeah, me too. And I acknowledge that these studies don't inspire confidence about health results, but I do think it's clear that organic food (especially animal products) is very much distinguishable from orthodox food. And it's reasonable to be concerned about some of the chemicals present in some orthodox food but absent in organic food. > Moreover, if organic food had a large effect on health we would expect today's rich kids to be substantially healthier than those of my generation, who ate Wonder Bread and Jif, but I have seen no such evidence. I'm not sure that's true - in order to properly assert this, you'd need to know that Wonder Bread and Jif had substantial quantities of pesticides that are prohibited under an organic label at the time you ate them.