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But you can definitely get 15-20% returns with proper risk management when investing with your own money. I wish to subscribe to your newsletter. Seriously, m

• charlesdm 11y ago
  As a simple example: the average return of the S&P500 over the last five years has been 16%. 2010: 14,82% 2011: 2,10% 2012: 15,89% 2013: 32,15% 2014: 13,52% 2015: 1,36%
  • exclusiv 11y ago
    Good points on the tax benefits, however the S&P historically is about 10% over the long haul. 16% over the past 5 years is irrelevant. I have no control in the S&P. I have control in my company. I'd rather rise or fail due to myself than say - the market did this. I max a 401k for tax purposes and do state muni-bonds for safe, decent tax-free monthly dividend income while I decide what current or new business of mine to invest the cash in. The market is basically tax-friendly gambling.
  • ryanwaggoner 11y ago
    That's six years, not five. And the annualized return (geometric mean, not mean) is 12.85%, not 16%. Worst of all, you picked a short outlier period to consider. If you instead look at the trailing ten years of Feb 2006 to Feb 2016, the annualized return is 6.3%, even with dividend reinvestment. And that's without accounting for inflation, making your real return closer to 4.5%. Bump up to look at the last 30 years and with dividend reinvestment and adjusting for inflation, you get about 7%. I think that's probably a realistic target to shoot for in the very long run (decades). Source: http://dqydj.net/sp-500-return-calculator/ http://dqydj.net/sp-500-return-calculator/