Small correction, they predicted Romney would win in 2012, not McCain in 2008; they actually predicted Obama would do better than he did in 2008 (tied for the h

Small correction, they predicted Romney would win in 2012, not McCain in 2008; they actually predicted Obama would do better than he did in 2008 (tied for the highest overestimated prediction). Their results have been poor indeed. http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/10/which-polls-fared-best-and-worst-in-the-2012-presidential-race/?_r=0 http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/10/which-po... http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/18/gallup-vs-the-world/ http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/18/gallup-v...