2 ms·
Great that there is a more powerful computer helping predict the weather! One should know that weather is a chaotic system and after three days its very hard to
by acd 11y ago
Great that there is a more powerful computer helping predict the weather! One should know that weather is a chaotic system and after three days its very hard to predict the weather correctly. This is known by the lorenz equations.
http://www.uvm.edu/~cdanfort/research/danforth-bates-thesis.pdf http://www.uvm.edu/~cdanfort/research/danforth-bates-thesis....
Here is the UK met office. "Most of the time the atmosphere behaves rather like the lower-left picture where we can predict with confidence for a few days and have to use probabilities thereafter. "
http://research.metoffice.gov.uk/research/nwp/ensemble/concept.html http://research.metoffice.gov.uk/research/nwp/ensemble/conce...
- kkylin 11y agoIndeed! though the constraints that chaos imposes on predictability is a subtle question. See, e.g., ftp://mana.soest.hawaii.edu/pub/rlukas/LSASI/ENSO/Prediction/Predicability_a_Problem_2006.pdf