> The main thing is that getting 4 masterpieces is extremely likely if you produce 10,000 works Yes and no. Once you succeeded in creating a masterpiece it can

> The main thing is that getting 4 masterpieces is extremely likely if you produce 10,000 works Yes and no. Once you succeeded in creating a masterpiece it can become incredibly hard to ever create something worthwhile again because success (especially when rewarded by the markets) can screw up your mind for good. You loose your sense of wonder, you feel the pressure to have success again and so on. It could very well be that you just create more of the same or get worse due to this. I think bands that are considered one hit wonders might provide a good example. It's a bit like an optimization algorithm that found a local optimum but can't escape its current neighborhood.