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I'd have to say the same for Facebook. More and more people are leaving Facebook. About 50% of people that had facebook 4 years ago no longer have it. I'm 100%
by jorgecurio 11y ago
I'd have to say the same for Facebook. More and more people are leaving Facebook. About 50% of people that had facebook 4 years ago no longer have it.
I'm 100% certain Twitter will not be around in 4 years. 95% certain Facebook will not be around in 10 years.
The reason is that these companies have created insane valuations that they can't justify during tough economic times. The userbase are hostile to any attempts at targeted advertising and it's something these large companies rely on for revenue.
I predict a decentralized, free, twitter and facebook alternatives that more or less mimic the UI except it's not managed centrally by a corporation. The application runs on multiple computers. A committee of volunteers influence it's future development and they are paid in some sort of cryptocurrency and people are paid for helping host this giant distributed app in cryptocurrency. People using the free application engage in market based economies in which the platform gets a small commission just enough to sustain the development and maintenance of the project.
It is at this point we will have enough wifi enabled devices to form effective peer to peer mesh network that doesn't require any ISP. You will still need to physically travel of a disconnected mesh network and authenticated by a concensus of existing incumbents in this independent mesh network in remote places separated by large geographical barriers and these networks will likely depend on ISP. However, this disconnected networks create effective means for them to thrive. You are limited by geography but not by the hazardous nature of human trust in a profit-incentive scheme.
The closest thing is Ethereum but I don't think it will be The One. there will be multiple 'Ethereum' attempts before a truly standalone, distributed, peer to peer applications takes shape and becomes deeply embedded in our social structure and bring about income and social equality.
This is sort of the future I have in mind, post-SV, China in permanent economic stagnation, and rise of cryptoanarchy all within the next 40 years.
- cheez 11y agoThe reason people leave Facebook is because Facebook is full of acquaintances that have little to no impact on your life. If they figure out how to make the relationships you do have work better (Instagram, Whatsapp, see a pattern?), the Facebook company will most definitely be around.
- prostoalex 11y ago> About 50% of people that had facebook 4 years ago no longer have it. Their own and third-party data (Comscore, Nielsen) seems to indicate otherwise, what's your source on this?
- jacques_chester 11y ago> I predict a decentralized, free, twitter and facebook alternatives that more or less mimic the UI except it's not managed centrally by a corporation. The application runs on multiple computers. A committee of volunteers influence it's future development and they are paid in some sort of cryptocurrency and people are paid for helping host this giant distributed app in cryptocurrency. I predict that wishful thinking won't come to pass, because wishful thinking about utopias has basically never come to pass. Happy to make payment in galactic credits if I'm wrong.