The problem with technology people making predictions about intelligence is they don't understand the most relevant field: epistemology. In particular, you can'

The problem with technology people making predictions about intelligence is they don't understand the most relevant field: epistemology. In particular, you can't make very good predictions about AI before you have a very good understanding of how learning and knowledge creation works. You can tell someone doesn't know these things when they never bring it up, despite it being critical to their claims. One way this is relevant is that people talk a lot about raw computing power. As if that was the bottleneck in humans. But the more critical issue, by far, is irrationalities. And they don't address whether AIs will have those, or not. Nor do they address how to "parent" an AI. This particular article doesn't even mention traditions or memes.