If your job is making predictions, then surely your performance can easily be measured by the outcomes of those predictions. That way, not saying what you think

If your job is making predictions, then surely your performance can easily be measured by the outcomes of those predictions. That way, not saying what you think would hurt your bonus or your company's reputation through poor performance. Perhaps that's only effective at combating widespread dishonesty and an isolated case like this wouldn't affect his overall accuracy much.