538 presents two separate metics: forecast and polling averages. Your initial post used (outdated) polling averages, so I went with that rather than the forecas

538 presents two separate metics: forecast and polling averages. Your initial post used (outdated) polling averages, so I went with that rather than the forecasts. Yes, Hillary is forecasted with 99% likelihood to get more votes/delegates in SC (just like Sanders was 99% likely to win New Hampshire), however it's not winner-takes-all. Delegates are split roughly by percentage. I didn't say you were lying, I said you were being disingenuous.