> near 0% chance to be confirmed This seems like very unreasonable estimate. Being election season, the Republicans will be sensitive to public opinion and sta

> near 0% chance to be confirmed This seems like very unreasonable estimate. Being election season, the Republicans will be sensitive to public opinion and stalling for 9+ months could cement the perception of being obstructionists. If Obama nominates a somewhat moderate candidate, they may decide to live with it.