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it makes no difference if it's one person putting a million dollars or a thousand people each putting one thousand dollars in the bank. The result in either cas
by yummyfajitas 11y ago
it makes no difference if it's one person putting a million dollars or a thousand people each putting one thousand dollars in the bank. The result in either case is that the bank can lend out a million dollars to someone starting a new venture.
This is wrong because it focuses solely on imaginary numbers floating around. It's absolutely true that we can play any game we want with numbers in a bank computer.
However, a worker can either be building a new factory or they can be making a purse. The former is investment while the latter is consumption. If we encourage investment we get more of the former, while if we encourage consumption we get more of the latter. The constraint here is real resources, not money.
I could probably be convinced that it would be a good idea to make all investment and savings tax free provided that all dividends as well as any amount liquidated was taxed as income.
This discourages investment and favors immediate consumption. Again, read Scott Sumner: http://www.themoneyillusion.com/?p=28842 http://www.themoneyillusion.com/?p=28842
This also discourages re-allocating investments to their most productive uses.
- adamlett 11y agoAs I tried to get across before, most of what we think of as investment, doesn't actually create value. Buying land does not create value, buying stock does not usually create new value (unless it's from a new offering). Owning assets that appreciate in value does not create new value. So tell me again why any of these kinds of investment is something we should go out of our way to encourage? On the other hand, consumption in a capitalist society really does create value, because consumption is the all important signalling mechanism that tells us where to direct our resources, ensuring that more value is created. Consumption is not without problems, but it is unquestionably valuable. So not only would a tax system based on consumption be hugely unjust from a social perspective, it also makes no sense from an economic perspective.
- yummyfajitas 11y agoThe issue isn't any individual act of saving (most of which are just reshufflings of investment assets), it's net investment. If the amount of money invested goes up, it buys more real investment resources. This means more workers and more physical resources are devoted to investment, and less to consumption. Again, think of real resources because thinking of money is confusing you. A worker can either do biomedical research (investment) or they can provide massages (consumption). This fact doesn't change no matter what games you imagine are happening with money.
- adamlett 11y agoYes, I probably am a little bit confused as to what exactly you mean when you talk about investment. Is buying a house an investment? How about a yacht? What about a vintage car? Stock? From a social point of view these are all more or less equivalent, as in they all result in money going out of your pocket into someone else's and some asset (which may or may not appreciate in value) being transferred to you. Depending on your point of view they can all be though of as both investment and consumption. This leads me to speculate if what you really mean is that it is spending that should be taxed and taking a profit that should be tax exempt? If not I would very much like to hear how you would define investment in such a way that it can unambiguously be separated from consumption. But regardless, the intention behind your proposal still makes it a horrible idea. I can see that you will not be swayed by the argument that it is socially very unjust and would result a unimaginable inequality. But as I keep trying to tell you, consumption is the motor of capitalism. It is the demand part of supply and demand. Without consumption, there is no production. And production is what creates all the wealth. Everybody would be poorer. Furthermore, while it's true the funding new ventures also contribute to wealth creation, and that lack of risk seeking capital would be a problem, it is simply not a problem that exists in our present condition as evidenced by the historically low interest rates. In fact there is an overabundance of capital in today's world. What is lacking is sound new ventures to invest in. If we were to further incentivize investment, we would only accelerate the formation of a catastrophic bubble. Your understanding of macroeconomics is simplistic if you believe as you seem to do that more investing is always positive or that consumption is always negative.
- yummyfajitas 11y agoYour entire argument is focusing on the micro, not the macro. Buying a house is an investment for the person who did it. But if the person you buy from turns around and spends the money on consumption, there is no net investment. One person shifted to investment, another shifted to consumption, the macro effect is zero. A net investment in houses would involve more housing being owned than before. This would require more houses to be built, and this in turn would require people a shift of workers/materials/etc from other uses into housing construction. Present day consumption goes down in return for an increase in future consumption. The result is that in the future, productive capacity has increased and more housing is available to consume. If you want to see the result of a lack of real investment, look at SF. All sorts of games being played with money, but nominally wealthy people can't even afford a flat without roommates. But as I keep trying to tell you, consumption is the motor of capitalism. It is the demand part of supply and demand. Without consumption, there is no production. And production is what creates all the wealth. Everybody would be poorer. Why don't you explain the mechanism by which this occurs in real terms? I'm pretty sure you've wildly misunderstood Keynesian economics and are conflating the Keynesian cure for prideful workers (which we don't have now - full employment) for some sort of general growth prescription.