Not a gamble at all. Aside from the land swap, all the incentives are performance based. If Tesla reaches its target 50 GWh / yr production capacity in 2020,

Not a gamble at all. Aside from the land swap, all the incentives are performance based. If Tesla reaches its target 50 GWh / yr production capacity in 2020, we're talking at least $5 Billion / year in economic output through the 20-year life of the incentive package (assuming a very conservative $100 / kWh). Not to mention all the employment, development and additional economic activity the factory will generate. How exactly does Nevada lose here?