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About half of all new establishments survive five years or more and about one-third survive 10 years or more. As one would expect, the probability of survival i
by roymurdock 11y ago
About half of all new establishments survive five years or more and about one-third survive 10 years or more. As one would expect, the probability of survival increases with a firm’s age. Survival rates have changed little over time.
- Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, BED
Small business loans are inherently risky and an 80% rejection rate accurately reflects that risk. How would creating a bigger market for bad/risky loans help the situation in any way? Sure, it might boost employment/wages temporarily, but in the end a majority of small businesses fail and enter bankruptcy. They bring their loans to bankruptcy court where they are renegotiated, leading to a haircut for the banks, less liquidity, and a waste of time/money/effort that could have been better spent elsewhere.
Remember, bad loans in the mortgage market caused the great recession. Higher loan standards are a good thing - and a necessary outcome of the 2008 fiasco of irresponsible/non performing debt getting pushed off bank balance sheets to the fed and ultimately the public.
- rrggrr 11y agoLet's understand what negative interest rates mean for US Banks. It likely means an increase in low margin loans and reserves for those loans - to a universe of borrowers no bigger, possibly even smaller, than at present. Negative interest rates do not loosen reserve requirements. They do not loosen lending standards. They do put downward pressure on the host country's currency, perhaps less so for the United States, due to the level of global anxiety. They create a "race to the bottom" for currencies and interest rates that is structurally unhealthy. Now compare that to doubling or tripling SBA loans and weigh the risks.