4 ms·
Its nice to have healthy skepticism for these kinds of things, but I don't think we as laypeople know more about polling than the polling organizations whose jo
by ksk 11y ago
Its nice to have healthy skepticism for these kinds of things, but I don't think we as laypeople know more about polling than the polling organizations whose job it is to eliminate biases with regards to the verbiage of questions and sampling. A lot of this stuff is based on well established models and prior theories.
- russnewcomer 11y agoWell, I am personally skeptical that those well-established models and prior theories are a) being followed and b) as effective as thought. More a) than b). But my greater skepticism comes from basing policy or expectations of a country on simplifications. Again, I wonder if they asked the same number of people if the same questions and subbed out disappointed for angry if they would get a significantly different response?
- TheOtherHobbes 11y agoUK pollsters called the UK election completely wrong last year - far outside any reasonable margin of error. Questions were asked, but there were no answers beyond "We asked the wrong people."