I admit the volume isn't huge. Maybe 10K per day on the presidential nominations. So you might be able to average placing 1K on per day without destroying your

I admit the volume isn't huge. Maybe 10K per day on the presidential nominations. So you might be able to average placing 1K on per day without destroying your odds. If you had even a 10% edge then that's $100 gain which most people wouldn't be giving up their day job for. There are other markets though. Betfair had turned over $3 million on the Dem Nom. The funny thing is the more accurate the market is the less 'smart money' would be attracted to profits and vice versa. Good luck with your trading. By participating you will presumably increase the accuracy of the market. But I think the average trader might be more knowledgeable than you give them credit for (even ones from those non-US places). And you never know... there might actually be something in this 'Wisdom of the Crowds' thing.