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Honestly, I think something that would be super interesting to YC and Silicon Valley and the world would be creating a technology prediction market. Using marke
by tedsanders 11y ago
Honestly, I think something that would be super interesting to YC and Silicon Valley and the world would be creating a technology prediction market. Using markets to gauge consensus about the future is super useful for any company or government making decisions under uncertainty.
You could have contracts about all sorts of technology predictions, such as "Will more than 1% of cars be self-driving by 2025?" or "Will MOSFETs have gate widths <10 nm by 2020?" or "Will virtual reality be a market worth over $1B by 2018?" or whatever you're interested in (and can define precisely).
SciCast.org was a technology prediction market that I participated in for a few years, but it was an academic project and ran out of funding.