But if he didn't think it would be true he'd bet the other way. Of course he's going to put his money on what he thinks/thought was going to happen. I can see h

But if he didn't think it would be true he'd bet the other way. Of course he's going to put his money on what he thinks/thought was going to happen. I can see how it's not true but I think it's likely he believes what he's talking about.