That last sentence is the conclusion of 'The Logic of Political Survival', by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, Alastair Smith, et al. Unfortunately, I haven't gone thr

That last sentence is the conclusion of 'The Logic of Political Survival', by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, Alastair Smith, et al. Unfortunately, I haven't gone through it in ten years, and I have a sneaking suspicion that it might have some faulty methodology.