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I don't think he offended Yegge in any way. It's a valid point to make when someone goes to make inaccurate predictions: you have to take that into consideratio
by sker 17y ago
I don't think he offended Yegge in any way. It's a valid point to make when someone goes to make inaccurate predictions: you have to take that into consideration for future articles. But well, this is Hacker News these days.
- DrJokepu 17y agoI agree with you, it certainly makes sense in my opinion to question the credibility of predictions based on a history of bad predictions. For example, I am ridiculously bad at estimating how much time implementing features / fixing bugs would take. Most of the time I'm really off, at least by a factor of 2. Surely my manager should take this fact into consideration when asking me how much time something would take me when planning the timeline/schedule (he does, in fact).
- steveklabnik 17y ago> It's a valid point to make when someone goes to make inaccurate predictions: you have to take that into consideration for future articles. Nope, that's a logical fallacy. Lots of people do it, yes. I'm guilty of it myself. But that doesn't mean that it's correct. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ad_hominem http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ad_hominem
- aswanson 17y agoIt is not a logical fallacy nor ad hominem to take into account the number of times someone has been incorrect about a specific subject matter in order to estimate how much one should weigh the probability of said individual being correct on future related matters. That is, unless one has complete and correct information about the future.