Nate Silver's "The signal and the noise" had an excellent chapter on it. Did a good job getting to the core of the argument, putting it into non-specialist term

Nate Silver's "The signal and the noise" had an excellent chapter on it. Did a good job getting to the core of the argument, putting it into non-specialist terms, and evaluating the results skeptically, but with scientific rigor. And no agenda. Highly recommended.