3 ms·
I'm having trouble following your height example because "finding" is not well defined, and it's conflating rate of occurrence with certainty. Being on a blind
by peeters 11y ago
I'm having trouble following your height example because "finding" is not well defined, and it's conflating rate of occurrence with certainty.
Being on a blind date with someone who is 6'8" is like knowing someone that won the lottery. The chance of winning the lottery is very low, but lots of people play it and chances are the winner has friends. You're unique, but have no reason to be incredulous.
This data being a coincidence is more on par with one person getting one chance to correctly predict (some of) tomorrow's lottery numbers. It's 1 in 13822.
- logicallee 11y agorate of occurrence is the same as certainty when it comes to p values, isn't it? At least 6.9 million hits use both phrases - https://www.google.com/search?q=p+values+certainty+%22rate+of+occcurrence%22 https://www.google.com/search?q=p+values+certainty+%22rate+o... The top one might be interesting here.