We should take no risks with the healthy and take many more with the seriously unhealthy. Of course, laity are subject to the Dunning-Kruger effect far more tha

We should take no risks with the healthy and take many more with the seriously unhealthy. Of course, laity are subject to the Dunning-Kruger effect far more than medical authorities when it comes to estimating potential self-risk. Specifically, an expert will typically arrive at the conclusion of sigmoidal benefit w.r.t. some treatment, whereas a newbie just sees convex potential at first, -> bandwagoning.