3 ms·
I don't fault his making predictions; but an occams razor explanation seems FAR more compelling to me, that a character like trump provides an outlet for sentim
by existencebox 11y ago
I don't fault his making predictions; but an occams razor explanation seems FAR more compelling to me, that a character like trump provides an outlet for sentiments that haven't been well served by any _marginally_ viable political candidate. Combined with a boisterous personality (which dovetails well with what seems to be a rising anti-establishment sentiment in certain groups) and celebrity background, it fits neatly into America's tendency to lend more credence than might be deserved otherwise to stars, regardless of their individual domain specific merit. (c.f. other celebrity anti-vaxers and the recurring trend to have non-political notables on political talk shows)
- drumdance 11y agoHindsight bias. Political pros have been predicting his demise for months, then backtracking to explain "what's really going on." Only Adams has been unwavering in his predictions and the explanations behind them. There are no celebrity anti-vaxers running for president, and just because non-political notables appear on talk shows doesn't mean they would poll well in Iowa. I think Adams goes too far in predicting a general election landslide, but I'm impressed he has the balls to do it.