Risk/Reward By getting in early you have a chance to get to know the device early, you get to have apps out there with less competition, you have the chance to

Risk/Reward By getting in early you have a chance to get to know the device early, you get to have apps out there with less competition, you have the chance to pioneer something and the buzz that comes with it, et. etc. That weighs against the risks: noone will buy it, something big will change between v1 & v1.1, etc. etc. Now, some people will buy it and the app store will not have fewer than 1000 apps when it launches, so neither the risk nor the reward are huge. You need to work out which way it leans.