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> Bayesians claim that their methods can help scientists overcome confirmation bias The claim isn't that Bayesianism somehow prevents biases. Using a Bayesian
by pdkl95 11y ago
> Bayesians claim that their methods can help scientists overcome confirmation bias
The claim isn't that Bayesianism somehow prevents biases. Using a Bayesian approach is important in science because frequentism answers the wrong question[1].
Many scientists operate as if the confidence interval is a Bayesian
credible region, but it demonstrably is not ...
I think the reason this mistake is so common is that in many simple
cases ... the confidence interval and the credible region happen
to coincide. Frequentism, in this case, correctly answers the question
you ask, but only because of the happy accident that Bayesianism gives
the same result for that problem.
[1] http://jakevdp.github.io/blog/2014/06/12/frequentism-and-bayesianism-3-confidence-credibility/ http://jakevdp.github.io/blog/2014/06/12/frequentism-and-bay...
(I'm referencing part 3 for the discussion of why frequentism is inappropriate in science, but I recommend reading the series from the beginning)