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> There is not a single person alive today who knows what technology will look like in 10 years Agreed, nobody knows what's going to happen in the future, howe
by EdiX 11y ago
> There is not a single person alive today who knows what technology will look like in 10 years
Agreed, nobody knows what's going to happen in the future, however...
>Computing is still in its infancy. A computer from the future - if they are even called that anymore - may be directly comparable to what we have today. Or the technology may change so much that the two devices are not even recognizable as being related.
... you should remember that 'nobody' also includes you. For computers to keep getting faster we'd need something faster than a MOSFET to build our computers on.
The fact that it hasn't been discovered in 90 years doesn't mean it's not going to be discovered ever, but it also doesn't mean it's bound to be discovered soon because of the unstoppable kurtzweilian march of progress.
Since we can't predict future discoveries because of the law of total expectations the best we can do is try to describe what the future looks like from here.