1. Privacy becomes more important to social networks 2. Social networks withdraw more APIs to protect not only privacy but their own business interests 3. Pri

1. Privacy becomes more important to social networks 2. Social networks withdraw more APIs to protect not only privacy but their own business interests 3. Privacy becomes more annoying to lawmakers 4. Lawmakers in the US vote in more surveillance powers to force social networks to comply with their information demands 5. Lawmakers in the EU create new laws to constrain their citizens' data to EU countries 6. Distributed social networks pick up traction in both the EU and US in response to #3 and #4. One will be promoted by a major player, probably Google as a play against Facebook.