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This is survivorship bias in action. If you compared all university-educated developers to all self-taught developers, you might have a valid comparison. If yo
by nickff 11y ago
This is survivorship bias in action. If you compared all university-educated developers to all self-taught developers, you might have a valid comparison. If you only compare startup-employed university-educated developers to their self-taught brethren, you run into selection bias issues.
For one thing, you are discarding all unemployed self-taught programmers (who may be very motivated, but not very good). Another issue is that university-educated programmers have various other characteristics (such as greater conformism) that reduce the likelihood they will want to work at a startup, or be successful in that environment. Self-taught developers who get hired to 'good' startups are also likely to have achievements that made their resume more appealing to the interviewer than a university degree; this means the self-taught developers who get hired are probably more accomplished.
- tonyedgecombe 11y agoI think you need to compare people who have an offer to study and refuse it to those who have an offer and accept. I'd be surprised if the difference in this case was large for developers.
- nickff 11y agoI would not be surprised if there was a large difference between those two groups. The people who refuse to study are likely to be non-conformists and/or have another plan (such as a job offer due to extraordinary previous work).