4 ms·
"may be the cause" "may want to hold off" "may have to do with the complicated effects ..." They need some definitive answers. The incidence of microcephaly
by tosseraccount 11y ago
"may be the cause"
"may want to hold off"
"may have to do with the complicated effects ..."
They need some definitive answers.
The incidence of microcephaly is 1.02 per 10,000 births in the UK 2002 for microcephaly (University of Ulster, 2003).
[ source : http://www.rightdiagnosis.com/m/microcephaly/prevalence.htm http://www.rightdiagnosis.com/m/microcephaly/prevalence.htm ]
Birth rate in Brazil is 14.5 per 1000 births.(https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2054rank.html https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/...)
Population of Brazil is 190,000,000.
They're claiming 2400 cases in this emergency.
Do the math. (as child threader indicates, it is high)
Finding Zika virus a small number of cases is not a clear answer.
- mikeyouse 11y agoYou're comparing the number across births in the UK to the number across the total population of Brazil.. There aren't 190M births in Brazil every year but closer to 2.7M (birth rate of ~14/1,000) -- only counting the known cases of microencephaly yields an occurrence of 89/100,000 or about 90x as frequent as in the UK. Seems pretty substantial, no?
- lern_too_spel 11y agoI did the math. 2,400 cases / (190,000,000 people * 14.72 births / 1,000 people in 2014) = 8.6 cases per 10,000 births, which is more than 8 times the rate quoted for the UK.