4 ms·

Wow, I totally missed that. November was incredibly warm. This will bring up the long term trends significantly. Looks like you excerpted the UAH data which is

Wow, I totally missed that. November was incredibly warm. This will bring up the long term trends significantly. Looks like you excerpted the UAH data which is year, month, global average, Northern Hemisphere, Southern Hemisphere, Tropics, not sure what No.Days is for, and then the 12 month running mean for each of the previous. I'm just so used to the NOAA saying "Warmest month ever" and it being contradicted by the MSU/AMSU data, it didn't even occur to me they were right. Thank you so much for double checking me.

Roodgorf 11y ago
According to that then it looks like the 12 month running average is significantly lower, is that to be expected/in line with predictions/at all statistically relevant? I'm still not sure I actually understand what those numbers represent. EDIT: After jacobolus updated with more columns and checking some other years from the link provided, that does not actually appear to be a trend. My apologies.
jacobolus 11y ago
Here are the 27 hottest months on record, if anyone was curious about comparing to e.g. the hottest october or december: YEAR MON GLOBAL NH SH TRPC 2010 4 0.330 0.449 0.210 0.687 2015 6 0.330 0.410 0.251 0.456 2015 11 0.330 0.433 0.228 0.525 2004 3 0.334 0.490 0.179 0.271 2010 6 0.336 0.432 0.240 0.449 2010 7 0.354 0.520 0.188 0.315 2003 12 0.357 0.462 0.252 0.272 2010 8 0.370 0.518 0.222 0.272 1987 12 0.382 0.573 0.191 0.656 2010 9 0.393 0.356 0.429 0.144 1998 10 0.400 0.484 0.315 0.368 2007 1 0.406 0.484 0.327 0.550 2010 5 0.426 0.611 0.241 0.804 2015 10 0.426 0.638 0.213 0.530 2013 1 0.429 0.345 0.512 0.420 1998 9 0.437 0.506 0.367 0.356 2010 2 0.441 0.392 0.491 0.856 1998 3 0.482 0.509 0.455 1.128 2010 1 0.483 0.553 0.412 0.599 1998 1 0.491 0.402 0.580 1.132 1998 7 0.496 0.617 0.375 0.467 2010 3 0.503 0.560 0.446 0.776 1998 8 0.513 0.482 0.544 0.459 1998 6 0.561 0.572 0.551 0.629 1998 5 0.636 0.566 0.706 0.975 1998 2 0.665 0.688 0.642 1.275 1998 4 0.742 0.852 0.633 1.177 1998 was just incredibly hot throughout (but not in November).

Roodgorf 11y ago

According to that then it looks like the 12 month running average is significantly lower, is that to be expected/in line with predictions/at all statistically relevant? I'm still not sure I actually understand what those numbers represent. EDIT: After jacobolus updated with more columns and checking some other years from the link provided, that does not actually appear to be a trend. My apologies.

jacobolus 11y ago

Here are the 27 hottest months on record, if anyone was curious about comparing to e.g. the hottest october or december: YEAR MON GLOBAL NH SH TRPC 2010 4 0.330 0.449 0.210 0.687 2015 6 0.330 0.410 0.251 0.456 2015 11 0.330 0.433 0.228 0.525 2004 3 0.334 0.490 0.179 0.271 2010 6 0.336 0.432 0.240 0.449 2010 7 0.354 0.520 0.188 0.315 2003 12 0.357 0.462 0.252 0.272 2010 8 0.370 0.518 0.222 0.272 1987 12 0.382 0.573 0.191 0.656 2010 9 0.393 0.356 0.429 0.144 1998 10 0.400 0.484 0.315 0.368 2007 1 0.406 0.484 0.327 0.550 2010 5 0.426 0.611 0.241 0.804 2015 10 0.426 0.638 0.213 0.530 2013 1 0.429 0.345 0.512 0.420 1998 9 0.437 0.506 0.367 0.356 2010 2 0.441 0.392 0.491 0.856 1998 3 0.482 0.509 0.455 1.128 2010 1 0.483 0.553 0.412 0.599 1998 1 0.491 0.402 0.580 1.132 1998 7 0.496 0.617 0.375 0.467 2010 3 0.503 0.560 0.446 0.776 1998 8 0.513 0.482 0.544 0.459 1998 6 0.561 0.572 0.551 0.629 1998 5 0.636 0.566 0.706 0.975 1998 2 0.665 0.688 0.642 1.275 1998 4 0.742 0.852 0.633 1.177 1998 was just incredibly hot throughout (but not in November).